Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1025.236133 1170.686313 1335.956621 1539.020206 1783.675420 2071.329096 2438.688991
2025-01-19 786.690016 963.573586 1184.149420 1484.391138 1890.373946 2432.350851 3232.182083
2025-01-26 703.723713 902.689620 1166.776048 1552.845808 2120.562455 2955.473548 4340.060123
2025-02-02 636.137805 845.763958 1138.000770 1590.639199 2304.578811 3446.533033 5552.499525
2025-02-09 581.622554 796.383411 1108.245241 1615.612202 2466.426754 3934.571857 6927.534197
2025-02-16 529.720769 742.817788 1062.762690 1605.055608 2563.252713 4330.710064 8280.089175
2025-02-23 499.630031 717.354520 1055.323411 1652.535944 2766.684924 4973.609930 10435.271979
2025-03-02 473.643615 694.705706 1048.438185 1698.126980 2974.201101 5683.776827 13124.248116
2025-03-09 444.629015 663.861959 1023.742386 1706.888550 3110.185534 6280.968866 15874.616277
2025-03-16 414.329830 627.830347 985.857474 1684.721173 3176.762759 6737.872616 18513.468694
2025-03-23 395.679984 609.329310 976.109590 1714.657862 3361.813078 7550.944924 22972.073978
2025-03-30 367.183214 571.573622 928.027635 1661.083066 3345.929006 7826.938427 25669.936161
2025-04-06 341.004369 536.856342 884.131819 1614.505996 3348.459548 8192.049948 29277.856721
2025-04-13 316.193940 502.838709 838.741199 1559.657617 3322.655597 8478.082654 32943.141172
2025-04-20 309.254821 499.954924 851.619898 1632.167331 3638.810479 9990.004423 45243.139339
2025-04-27 299.109171 490.299664 850.231318 1672.545921 3881.165772 11389.507588 59844.061293
2025-05-04 288.337483 478.553927 843.390717 1699.182506 4093.053136 12805.892582 78334.349912
2025-05-11 274.783714 460.516410 822.014352 1687.918984 4190.736488 13828.665432 96717.717373
2025-05-18 267.990355 454.856279 825.604619 1738.595854 4496.165863 15974.228621 136272.458462
2025-05-25 261.391051 449.030887 828.205743 1787.282557 4812.189410 18438.310375 196079.522763
2025-06-01 252.029313 437.062009 816.417835 1796.641924 4998.503909 20403.669389 265092.970493
2025-06-08 240.824074 420.666870 793.508254 1772.963865 5061.550014 21744.398180 336045.945136
2025-06-15 234.477005 413.672186 790.909896 1804.942109 5344.052595 24725.171609 502274.417181